Trend situation of Thai broiler chicken in 2023

of the world production Year 2023

 

102.74 million tons, an increase of 1.79 percent from 100.93 million tons in 2022. It is expected that the world’s production of chicken meat will increase the world’s production of chicken meat as demand increases. As a result, the major producing countries Both the United States, Brazil and the European Union. expanding production

 

marketing

(1) consumption demand

 

In 2023, it is expected that the world’s chicken meat consumption is 100.11 million tons, an increase of 1.89% from 98.25 million tons in 2022. The largest consumer is the United States, expected to have a consumption of 17.90 million tons, followed by China 14.48. million tons, EU 10.07 million tons and Brazil 10.06 million tons. consumption increased the most by 2.81% compared to 2022

(2) Export

 

In 2023, the world’s chicken meat exports are expected to be 14.13 million tons, an increase of 3.70% from 13.63 million tons in 2022. Existing producers (Brazil, USA, EU) still dominate the market. by brazil still It is the country that exports the most chicken meat at 4.80 million tons.

An increase of 3.78% from 4.63 million tons in 2021, followed by the United States, the European Union and Thailand, respectively, where Thailand is still the world’s 4th largest exporter.

(3) Imports in 2023 were 11.49 million tons in the world, an increase of 4.36 percent from 11.01 million tons in 2022, with Japan still being the country that Imported chicken meat the most was 1.12 million tons, followed by Mexico 0.93 million tons, the United Kingdom 0.88 million tons, with Japan’s main import source of chicken meat being Brazil.

 

of Thailand

 

production

 

In 2023, it is expected that Thai broiler production will continue to expand. increase according to the population It is expected that Thailand will produce 1,781.55 million broilers or 2.85 million tons of chicken meat, up from 1,771.99 million chickens or 2.83 million chicken meat. tons of 2022 0.54 percent

 

marketing

 

(1) consumption demand

 

In 2023, Thai chicken consumption is expected to be 1.89 million tons, an increase of 0.17 percent from 1.88 million tons in 2022, in line with the economic recovery. In addition, chicken meat is a protein food that is cheaper than other types of meat. The domestic consumption accounted for 66.26 percent of total production.

 

(2) Export

 

Thai chicken meat exports in 2023 are expected to increase in line with market demand, especially Japan. United Kingdom, China and the European Union tend to import more chicken meat from Thailand. from the economic recovery

In 2023, total chicken exports are expected to be 960,000 tons, an increase of 1.27 percent from 948,000 tons in 2022, divided into chilled chicken exports. frozen 397,000 tons, an increase of 1.40 percent from 391,500 tons in 2022, and processed chicken exports of 563,000 tons, an increase of 1.17 percent from 556,500 tons in 2022.

 

(3) price

1) The price that farmers can sell

In 2023, it is expected that the price of broilers sold by farmers will increase from 2022 due to production planning to match. in line with market demands both domestically and internationally, coupled with rising production costs

 

2) Export price

In 2023, the export price of chilled, frozen and processed chicken meat is expected to decrease slightly from 2022 as a result of exchange rates.

2.3 Factors affecting production volume or Thailand’s exports

 

2.3.1 Positive factors

(1) economic recovery after the crisis Outbreak of COVID-19 and the increase in the world’s population has led to an increase in the demand for food from meat, especially chicken meat. due to chicken It is a low fat protein diet. It is also cheap when Compared to other types of meat

(2) Export of chicken meat and products to foreign countries tends to increase Especially the Middle East market as a result of the restoration of trade relations between Thailand and Saudi Arabia. make Saudi Arabia Lift the ban on importing chicken from Thailand.

Russia-Ukraine causes Ukraine to have obstacles in exporting chicken to the EU, which is an opportunity for Thai exports. (3) Compartment and traceability operations can build confidence in the quality of chicken production.

Thai chicken meat production for partner countries to accept which is the result of preventive control measures and strict surveillance of animal epidemics, resulting in no reports of avian influenza in Thailand. Thailand for more than 14 years from the date of the destruction of the last poultry on November 12, 2008, including the Thailand’s trading partners have certified the processing factory standards.

and export Thai chicken Therefore, it is an opportunity for Thailand to be able to export more chickens to different markets

 

 2.3.2 Negative factors

(1) Thailand relies on production factors and foreign technologies such as animal breeds, raw materials for animal feed, drugs and medical supplies. as well as the cost of broiler production. Thailand’s comparatively higher than competitors such as Brazil and the United States. especially the cost of animal feed 

 

(2) Countries have implemented barrier measures. non-tariff trade (Non-Tariff Measures: NTMs) to be used more by bringing various social issues into international trade standards, such as labor standards, environmental standards, etc., which trading partners May use the aforementioned issues to prevent trade between them. If Thailand does not have serious prevention and remedy preparations, it may affect Thai chicken exports. 

(3) Foreign exchange rates Since broiler and broiler products are important export agricultural products of Thailand, if exchange rates fluctuate, it will affect the ability to compete in price with the country.

decrease in competitors

 

Thanks for the information, Chicken & Swine Message Magazine, issue 237, February 2023.

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